Current Issue - August 2014

The Fed has not raised the funds rate once during the economic recovery. Long interest rates are in a trough, ending a three-decade-plus secular decline in rates, which has resulted in the bull market for bonds. Anyone making projections for investment returns over the next decade had better not be basing expectations on any historical performance. But I am afraid that this is exactly what most individual investors are doing.

In this month's issue, I explain the three biggest risks for your money. To frame risk parameters, I use inference reading—what I call outcome analysis—and on-the-ground anecdotal evidence. I exert minimal effort worrying about what I am going to make on my investments. I concentrate on dividends, portfolio balance, diversification, and compound interest—in other words, I know what I am being paid up front. So where does all this leave you? Depending on your risk tolerance, I have several allocation options to help you build a well-diversified investment plan consisting of equities, fixed income, precious metals, and foreign currencies—a mix that has historically provided consistent, positive, prudent returns. And if you're not a fan of metals, I've got a plan for you, too. No matter which one you choose, you can start with two foundation holdings you can add to with impunity through the years. More >>

Economic Analysis - August 2014

Each month, I provide you with an Economic Analysis supplement to the issue. This supplement provides you with a bird's eye view of the indicators that I monitor on a regular basis. The incisive, story-telling charts included in this supplement are updated every month and range from "The Leaders" to "World Currency Reserves/World Gold Reserves." There will always be great new material as well as timely reference dates, and my comments spell out the meaning of each chart for you. Download in pdf format.

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Your Best One-Two Punch

July 29, 2014

For my money the best balanced fund combination is a 50/50 mix of Vanguard Wellesley and Wellington. For clients I prefer a mix of Young Research’s retirement compounder stocks and individual bonds and bond funds. The key difference from the Wellesley and Wellington mix is our stocks provide an eclectic group of international holdings and […]

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